“We find that consumer prices have risen disproportionately in categories facing larger tariff increases,” Goldman Sachs said in a note to investors and analysts last autumn. An updated forecast this week estimated that “tariff pass-through increased core PCE (personal consumption expenditure) prices by about 0.7% through January and will raise prices by a further 0.1% in the remainder of 2026.”
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机会不在保单壳，而在可保性工程：模型评估与审计标准、上线后的漂移与幻觉监控、深伪与身份验证的反欺诈基础设施、AI治理与证据链留痕，以及最关键的去相关化能力。通过多模型、多云、隔离与回滚设计降低同源聚合带来的再保资本压力，一旦形成可复制标准与数据闭环，就会从风控成本变成定价权资产。